Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001099 1.242336e-03 0.001387 0.001544 0.001708 0.001876 0.002058
2025-03-09 0.000805 1.011931e-03 0.001231 0.001477 0.001744 0.002023 0.002335
2025-03-16 0.000588 8.379464e-04 0.001116 0.001441 0.001804 0.002193 0.002637
2025-03-23 0.000452 7.367082e-04 0.001070 0.001473 0.001936 0.002441 0.003027
2025-03-30 0.000327 6.297398e-04 0.001005 0.001477 0.002032 0.002650 0.003377
2025-04-06 0.000228 5.385998e-04 0.000949 0.001484 0.002128 0.002857 0.003724
2025-04-13 0.000153 4.632962e-04 0.000904 0.001497 0.002229 0.003068 0.004076
2025-04-20 0.000083 3.722103e-04 0.000825 0.001462 0.002267 0.003203 0.004341
2025-04-27 0.000036 2.947834e-04 0.000754 0.001429 0.002302 0.003333 0.004597
2025-05-04 0.000017 2.665871e-04 0.000751 0.001484 0.002444 0.003587 0.004997
2025-05-11 0.000003 2.220340e-04 0.000715 0.001490 0.002523 0.003765 0.005307
2025-05-18 NaN 1.501123e-04 0.000619 0.001404 0.002480 0.003794 0.005439
2025-05-25 NaN 9.390525e-05 0.000540 0.001344 0.002479 0.003884 0.005662
2025-06-01 NaN 5.671575e-05 0.000484 0.001314 0.002516 0.004023 0.005945
2025-06-08 NaN 3.196784e-05 0.000442 0.001303 0.002577 0.004194 0.006268
2025-06-15 NaN 2.214182e-05 0.000438 0.001351 0.002720 0.004467 0.006716
2025-06-22 NaN 1.081481e-05 0.000416 0.001367 0.002818 0.004685 0.007099
2025-06-29 NaN 3.496610e-06 0.000394 0.001382 0.002915 0.004901 0.007479
2025-07-06 NaN 2.455719e-07 0.000377 0.001402 0.003016 0.005122 0.007866
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000335 0.001372 0.003047 0.005251 0.008139
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001344 0.003075 0.005376 0.008407
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001399 0.003225 0.005659 0.008868
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001406 0.003305 0.005850 0.009216